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Posted at October 8, 2008 at 8:48 am
Excerpt:
John Deeth has some excellent analysis about the November election that is even more true after Obama’s win in last night’s debate…
From here on out this is about running up the score. It’s about…
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Posted at January 26, 2008 at 11:03 am
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Posted at January 11, 2008 at 7:45 am
Categories: Dems, Century of the Common Iowan, Populism, Mike Huckabee | Comments Off
Posted at January 8, 2008 at 2:33 pm
Excerpt:
I posted my predictions for the Iowa caucuses right before I left work. On the home I started thinking about how ridiculous it would be for Obama to beat Edwards by 8%, so I decided to change them to make it closer. However, when I got home my internet wasn’t working and I couldn’t.
As it turns out, my predictions were darn close, getting the top 2 exactly right (though I had Richardson and Biden way too high and Clinton too low). My Republican predictions weren’t bad either, except I gave McCain too much support and not enough to Fred Thompson.
So here are my predictions for New Hampshire…
Democrats 1. Barack Obama 42% 2. Hillary Clinton 27% 3. John Edwards 24% 4. Bill Richardson 9%
Republicans
1. John McCain 32% 2. Mitt Romney 29% 3. Mike Huckabee 16% 4. Ron Paul 11% 5. Rudy Giuliani 9% 6. Fred Thompson 3%

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Categories: Dems, Century of the Common Iowan, John Edwards, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, Ron Paul | Comments Off
Posted at January 8, 2008 at 1:38 pm
Excerpt:
On Sunday, Mike Huckabee delivered a sermon at a New Hampshire church where he spoke about being part of God’s army.
From the Washington Post…
A pastor from Texas was scheduled to deliver the sermon Sunday at a church here called the Crossing.
But instead this small evangelical congregation heard from a different special guest: Baptist minister and 2008 presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, who delivered a sermon of more than 20 minutes on how to be part of “God’s Army” in the middle school cafeteria where the congregation meets.
“When we become believers, it’s as if we have signed up to be part of God’s Army, to be soldiers for Christ,” Huckabee told the enthusiastic audience.

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Posted at January 8, 2008 at 10:17 am
Excerpt:
Matthew Yglesias had an interesting post today that shows Mike Huckabee had a poor showing in Iowa counties with a high Catholic population.
Here are the maps…
Huckabee won the counties in blue, Romney won the counties in red.
 The redder the counties, the more Catholics.


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Posted at January 7, 2008 at 1:08 am
Excerpt:
Here is a look at the polls in New Hampshire since the Iowa caucuses on Thursday.
From Political Wire…
It is looking like Obama got the bump and he should win New Hampshire.
I am kind of wondering why Huckabee and even Edwards went to New Hampshire. Maybe they should have went on to Nevada and South Carolina and try to get ahead start on everyone else there.

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Posted at January 2, 2008 at 8:00 am
Excerpt:
The Cornbelt Blather Boys have a pretty nifty caucus guide that outlines the pros and cons of the Republican candidates.
As the January 3rd Iowa caucuses approach, it has been reported that many voters are still undecided as who to vote for. Enter CBB’s handy dandy pocket, blog voting guide:
Mike Huckabee: Former Arkansas governor and Baptist minister.
Pros: Lost over 100 pounds, meaning there is less of him to dislike. Figuratively speaking.
Cons: Mike has over a thousand cons, as in he pardoned over a thousand convicts.
Mitt Romney: Former Massachusetts governor and Mormon.
Pros: America can always use another elitist, politician from Massachusetts to govern our lives.
Cons: How many lawyers does it take to invade a nation? Believes a lawyer should be consulted before he would take military action as President.
Ron Paul: Congressman from Texas
Pros: Maybe you missed the part where he’s from Texas? As a bonus, he’s an angry Texan.
Cons: As a strict Constitutionalist surely Ron Paul has observed his Presidency is not mentioned anywhere in the US Constitution.
Rudy Giuliani: Former mayor of New York City.
Pros: He’s been through two nasty divorces which, of course, makes him over qualified to handle diplomatic relations with rogue states like Iran and North Korea.
Cons: He is a Yankees fan.
Fred Thompson: Former senator and actor.
Pros: Starred in such movies as Days of Thunder and Aces: Iron Eagle III.
Cons: Starred in such movies as Days of Thunder and Aces: Iron Eagle III.
Good luck finding a good candidate in that bunch.

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Categories: Dems, Century of the Common Iowan, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, Ron Paul | Comments Off
Posted at December 31, 2007 at 12:50 pm
Excerpt:
Candidates are criscrossing the state and many are holding New Year’s Eve parties tonight. Iowa Politics has compiled a list of where the events are taking place…
The candidates are holding New Year’s Eve gatherings throughout the state. Here’s where they’re scheduled to be:
– Barack Obama is holding a New Year’s Eve rally at 8:30 p.m. at the Iowa State University Memorial Union in Ames. The doors open at 7:30 p.m.
– Hillary Clinton will be joined by husband and former President Bill Clinton at a New Beginnings Celebration at 9:45 p.m. at Capitol Square in Des Moines.
– John Edwards’ New Year’s Eve festivities begin at 6:30 p.m. at his Mason City campaign office.
– Chris Dodd is holding a New Year’s Eve party at Happy’s Place in Dubuque.
– Bill Richardson and wife Barbara will hold a holiday event at 8 p.m. at the Quality Inn and Suites Event Center in Des Moines.
– Mike Huckabee and his family are meeting with supporters at a New Year’s Eve gathering at 5:30 p.m. at the Wakonda Club in Des Moines.
– Mitt Romney and his family are attending the GuideOne ImaginEve celebration at 7:15 p.m. at the Hy-Vee Hall in Des Moines.

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Posted at December 31, 2007 at 10:36 am
Excerpt:
EJ Dionne of the Washington Post has a story out about the economic populist themes of John Edwards and Mike Huckabee’s campaigns. From my experiences talking to Republicans about different issues, one thing we can agree on is that government policy favors corporations and the wealthy over the interests of average people and that big money has too much influence in the process.
Dionne has this quote by Huckabee at a recent campaign event in Iowa…
“I’m not exactly the pick of some of the East Coast establishment Republicans,” the former governor of Arkansas said in a nice bit of heartland understatement. “I think they don’t understand a lot of us who don’t live in their world.”
“If you ask a hedge fund manager what’s he worried about, he’s going to give you a very different answer than a guy who just lost his job in a factory in Orange City,” Huckabee continues in a quiet voice, referring to a town in the western part of the state. And then he speaks up for “the guy in Orange City” who is alarmed by the price of gasoline, the rising costs of college and health care, the inexorable increases in “deductibles” and “co-pays.”
Dionne concludes…
Since the Reagan era, the heroes of the nation’s economic story have been valiant entrepreneurs who “took risks” and “created wealth.” This narrative advanced the Republican cause and seeped deeply into the Democratic Party. If Iowa is any indication, there is a new narrative in which the old heroes are cast as the goats of the story and the new heroes are people like “the guy in Orange City.” There is a thunder out of Iowa, and it is shaking both parties.

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